High inherited risk predicts age-associated increases in fibrosis in patients with MASLD

Background & AimsLimited data have prevented routine genetic testing from being integrated into clinical practice in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD). We aimed to quantify the effect of genetic variants on changes in fibrosis severity per decade in MASLD.MethodsThis cross-sectional study included prospectively recruited adults with MASLD aged 18–70 who underwent magnetic resonance elastography (MRE) and genotyping for PNPLA3, TM6SF2, MBOAT7, GCKR, and HSD17B13. A genetic risk score (GRS) was calculated as the sum of established risk alleles in PNPLA3 minus protective variants in HSD17B13 (0=low risk, 1=high risk). We also estimated the polygenic risk score-hepatic fat content (PRS-HFC) and the adjusted version (PRS-5). The primary endpoint was the age-related change in liver stiffness measurement (LSM) on MRE by GRS. Findings were validated using an external cohort from Latin America.ResultsAmong 570 participants, the median age was 57 [49–64] years, 56.8% were women, and 34.2% were Hispanic. Median MRE was 2.4 [2.1–3.0] kPa, and 51% had high GRS. High GRS was independently associated with increased LSM (β=0.28 kPa, 95%CI:0.12–0.44, p=0.001) per 10-year age increase, while the low GRS group showed no significant difference. Similar findings were observed using PRS-HFC and PRS-5. PNPLA3 genotype alone also predicted higher LSM (C/G: β=0.32 kPa, 95%CI:0.02–0.61, p=0.034; G/G: β=0.87 kPa, 95%CI:0.52–1.22, p<0.0001) and G/G genotype was associated with significantly higher LSM by age 44, which was consistent in the validation population.ConclusionGRS, PRS-HFC, PRS-5, and PNPLA3 genotypes alone are associated with greater fibrosis per decade, resulting in divergent disease trajectories starting in midlife. Assessing genetic risk in MASLD will identify high-risk patients who require more frequent monitoring."

Keywords

NAFLD, non-alcoholic fatty liver disease, Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease, MAFLD, Non-alcoholic cirrhosis, Cirrhosis, Steatotic liver disease, Genetic risk score, Screening, PNPLA3, Noninvasive tests, NITs