Modeling the economic impact for Chile of an import ban on genetically modified maize

dc.contributor.authorFoster, William
dc.contributor.authorOrtega, Jorge
dc.contributor.authorVargas, Gonzalo
dc.date.accessioned2025-01-20T17:06:35Z
dc.date.available2025-01-20T17:06:35Z
dc.date.issued2024
dc.description.abstractWe estimate producer and consumer surplus changes due to a possible GM maize import ban in Chile, which produces only non-GM grains for internal use. Without foreign non-GM sources, the ban's effect on domestic maize prices would be so significant as to induce Chile to switch from net exporter to net importer of animal products. Fixed factor owners in farm production would benefit significantly, although non-GM maize imports would moderate gains. Total social welfare measures would decline considerably, requiring large offsetting noneconomic benefits for a ban's political viability. Without non-GM imports, internal maize prices would likely eliminate domestic animal product industries; with possible imports, industries and final consumers would suffer, but much less. Currently, the country is a net importer of grain and a net exporter of pork and poultry, and so most welfare losses on the demand side of the market for maize would be in terms of the economic rents generated by the pork and poultry sectors. International competition would protect final consumers to the extent that animal product imports based on GM feed were permitted.
dc.description.funderAsociacion Gremial ChileBIO CropLife
dc.fuente.origenWOS
dc.identifier.doi10.1080/21645698.2024.2325180
dc.identifier.eissn2164-5701
dc.identifier.issn2164-5698
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.1080/21645698.2024.2325180
dc.identifier.urihttps://repositorio.uc.cl/handle/11534/90807
dc.identifier.wosidWOS:001188236200001
dc.issue.numero1
dc.language.isoen
dc.pagina.final104
dc.pagina.inicio85
dc.revistaGm crops & food-biotechnology in agriculture and the food chain
dc.rightsacceso restringido
dc.subjectChile
dc.subjectconsumer and producer surplus
dc.subjectdomestic pork and poultry industries
dc.subjectGM maize import ban
dc.subject.ods02 Zero Hunger
dc.subject.odspa02 Hambre cero
dc.titleModeling the economic impact for Chile of an import ban on genetically modified maize
dc.typeartículo
dc.volumen15
sipa.indexWOS
sipa.trazabilidadWOS;2025-01-12
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