Global conditions and asymmetric effects of commodity price shocks in emerging economies
Loading...
Date
2021
Authors
Journal Title
Journal ISSN
Volume Title
Publisher
Abstract
Emerging market economies, especially those considered commodity-exporters, are significantly influenced by shocks to commodity prices. While small open economy models have emphasized the link between commodity prices and financial conditions, none of the previous works has analyzed the potential non-linear effects induced by commodity price shocks. Using a non-linear panel fixed-effects local projections model, I show that emerging economies’ business cycles exhibit a sign-dependent asymmetry in response to commodity terms of trade shocks. Both global financial conditions and the state of the global economy are important to explain this asymmetric behavior.
Description
Tesis (Magíster en Economía)--Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, 2021