Joint spatial modeling of the risks of co-circulating mosquito-borne diseases in Ceara, Brazil

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dc.contributor.authorPavani, Jessica
dc.contributor.authorBastos, Leonardo S.
dc.contributor.authorMoraga, Paula
dc.date.accessioned2025-01-20T17:36:24Z
dc.date.available2025-01-20T17:36:24Z
dc.date.issued2023
dc.description.abstractMosquito-borne diseases such as dengue and chikungunya have been co-circulating in the Americas, causing great damage to the population. In 2021, for instance, almost 1.5 million cases were reported on the continent, being Brazil the responsible for most of them. Even though they are transmitted by the same mosquito, it remains unclear whether there exists a relationship between both diseases. In this paper, we model the geographic distributions of dengue and chikungunya over the years 2016 to 2021 in the Brazilian state of Ceara. We use a Bayesian hierarchical spatial model for the joint analysis of two arboviruses that includes spatial covariates as well as specific and shared spatial effects that take into account the potential autocorrelation between the two diseases. Our findings allow us to identify areas with high risk of one or both diseases. Only 7% of the areas present high relative risk for both diseases, which suggests a competition between viruses. This study advances the understanding of the geographic patterns and the identification of risk factors of dengue and chikungunya being able to help health decision-making.
dc.fuente.origenWOS
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.sste.2023.100616
dc.identifier.eissn1877-5853
dc.identifier.issn1877-5845
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.sste.2023.100616
dc.identifier.urihttps://repositorio.uc.cl/handle/11534/91685
dc.identifier.wosidWOS:001072451300001
dc.language.isoen
dc.revistaSpatial and spatio-temporal epidemiology
dc.rightsacceso restringido
dc.subjectDisease mapping
dc.subjectChikungunya fever
dc.subjectDengue fever
dc.subjectSpatial modeling
dc.subjectBayesian inference
dc.subjectINLA
dc.subject.ods03 Good Health and Well-being
dc.subject.odspa03 Salud y bienestar
dc.titleJoint spatial modeling of the risks of co-circulating mosquito-borne diseases in Ceara, Brazil
dc.typeartículo
dc.volumen47
sipa.indexWOS
sipa.trazabilidadWOS;2025-01-12
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