Vulnerability of global forest ecoregions to future climate change

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dc.contributor.authorWang, Chun-Jing
dc.contributor.authorZhang, Zhi-Xiang
dc.contributor.authorWan, Ji-Zhong
dc.date.accessioned2025-01-23T21:09:02Z
dc.date.available2025-01-23T21:09:02Z
dc.date.issued2019
dc.description.abstractThe vulnerability of global forest ecoregions to future climate change represents a major threat to biodiversity and ecosystems worldwide. Therefore, it is important to investigate this vulnerability to improve the global conservation management network for biodiversity and ecosystems. We used speciesearea relationship coupled with correlative distribution modelling to conduct a global vulnerability assessment on 387 forest ecoregions under future climate change across different (1) biomes, (2) biogeographical realms and (3) conservation statuses. We found that 8.8% of global forest ecoregions were highly vulnerable in a low-greenhouse-gas-concentration scenario, and 32.6% of the global forest ecoregions were highly vulnerable in the high-greenhouse-gas-concentration scenario. Furthermore, the overall vulnerability of forest ecoregions was significantly greater for the high-rather than the low-greenhouse-gas-concentration scenario. In particular, critical or endangered forest ecoregions of Temperate Broadleaf and Mixed Forests, Temperate Conifer Forests, Tropical and Subtropical Dry Broadleaf Forests and Tropical and Subtropical Moist Broadleaf Forests were highly vulnerable in Nearctic, Neotropic and Palearctic realms. Furthermore, relatively stable and intact Tropical and Subtropical Moist Broadleaf Forests may be threatened in Neotropic and Afrotropic realms due to their climate change vulnerability. Hence, due to increasing greenhouse gas concentrations, future climate change must be incorporated into forest ecoregion conservation management to improve the effectiveness of global conservation network systems for biodiversity and ecosystems. (c) 2019 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V.
dc.fuente.origenWOS
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.gecco.2019.e00760
dc.identifier.eissn2351-9894
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.gecco.2019.e00760
dc.identifier.urihttps://repositorio.uc.cl/handle/11534/100801
dc.identifier.wosidWOS:000498226800065
dc.language.isoen
dc.revistaGlobal ecology and conservation
dc.rightsacceso restringido
dc.subjectClimatic change
dc.subjectConservation status
dc.subjectCorrelative distribution modelling
dc.subjectSpecies-area relationship
dc.subjectVulnerability assessment
dc.subject.ods13 Climate Action
dc.subject.ods14 Life Below Water
dc.subject.ods15 Life on Land
dc.subject.odspa13 Acción por el clima
dc.subject.odspa14 Vida submarina
dc.subject.odspa15 Vida de ecosistemas terrestres
dc.titleVulnerability of global forest ecoregions to future climate change
dc.typeartículo
dc.volumen20
sipa.indexWOS
sipa.trazabilidadWOS;2025-01-12
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