Business cycle and political election outcomes: Evidence from the Chilean democracy

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dc.contributor.authorCerda, Rodrigo
dc.contributor.authorVergara, Rodrigo
dc.date.accessioned2025-01-21T01:05:30Z
dc.date.available2025-01-21T01:05:30Z
dc.date.issued2007
dc.description.abstractThis paper explores the influence of economic variables in Chilean presidential elections. We use a panel where the dependent variable corresponds to the share of the vote obtained by the incumbent at a municipal level in the presidential elections of 1989, 1993 and 1999. We focus on the unemployment rate and the output gap and find that both have a significant influence on the vote. We also find that if the mayor is from the same coalition as the incumbent, people will further punish the incumbent when regional unemployment is above national unemployment.
dc.fuente.origenWOS
dc.identifier.doi10.1007/s11127-006-9138-5
dc.identifier.issn0048-5829
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.1007/s11127-006-9138-5
dc.identifier.urihttps://repositorio.uc.cl/handle/11534/95938
dc.identifier.wosidWOS:000247657500010
dc.issue.numero1-2
dc.language.isoen
dc.pagina.final136
dc.pagina.inicio125
dc.revistaPublic choice
dc.rightsacceso restringido
dc.subjectpolitical elections
dc.subjectbusiness cycle
dc.subjectunemployment
dc.subject.ods10 Reduced Inequality
dc.subject.odspa10 Reducción de las desigualdades
dc.titleBusiness cycle and political election outcomes: Evidence from the Chilean democracy
dc.typeartículo
dc.volumen132
sipa.indexWOS
sipa.trazabilidadWOS;2025-01-12
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