Beyond Technologies of Observation. Accepting Uncertainty in Disaster Risk Management
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Date
2025
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Springer Science and Business Media B.V.
Abstract
This short essay examines the current role of technologies of observation in disaster risk management, highlighting the limitations of relying solely on these systems to address extreme natural hazards. While advances in observation and prediction tools, such as seismographs, weather satellites, and early warning systems, have improved societies' capacity to anticipate and mitigate disasters, these technologies are not without challenges. Complex socio-technical systems remain prone to failures, and are difficult to interpret. Overall, uncertainty often prevails during emergencies. Using examples from Chile and Spain, this paper argues that the focus of disaster management should shift from the enhancement of technological precision to empowering decision-makers and communities to act effectively under conditions of uncertainty. I propose focusing on improving situational assessments, by emphasizing the importance of interpretation, translation, and even improvisation.
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Keywords
Disasters, observation, uncertainty, risks