Past abrupt changes, tipping points and cascading impacts in the Earth system

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dc.contributor.authorBrovkin, Victor
dc.contributor.authorBrook, Edward
dc.contributor.authorWilliams, John W.
dc.contributor.authorBathiany, Sebastian
dc.contributor.authorLenton, Timothy M.
dc.contributor.authorBarton, Michael
dc.contributor.authorDeConto, Robert M.
dc.contributor.authorDonges, Jonathan F.
dc.contributor.authorGanopolski, Andrey
dc.contributor.authorMcManus, Jerry
dc.contributor.authorPraetorius, Summer
dc.contributor.authorde Vernal, Anne
dc.contributor.authorAbe Ouchi, Ayako
dc.contributor.authorCheng, Hai
dc.contributor.authorClaussen, Martin
dc.contributor.authorCrucifix, Michel
dc.contributor.authorGallopin, Gilberto
dc.contributor.authorIglesias, Virginia
dc.contributor.authorKaufman, Darrell S.
dc.contributor.authorKleinen, Thomas
dc.contributor.authorLambert, Fabrice
dc.contributor.authorvan der Leeuw, Sander
dc.contributor.authorLiddy, Hannah
dc.contributor.authorLoutre, Marie France
dc.contributor.authorMcGee, David
dc.contributor.authorRehfeld, Kira
dc.contributor.authorRhodes, Rachael
dc.contributor.authorSeddon, Alistair W. R.
dc.contributor.authorTrauth, Martin H.
dc.contributor.authorVanderveken, Lilian
dc.contributor.authorYu, Zicheng
dc.date.accessioned2024-01-10T14:23:50Z
dc.date.available2024-01-10T14:23:50Z
dc.date.issued2021
dc.description.abstractA synthesis of intervals of rapid climatic change evident in the geological record reveals some of the Earth system processes and tipping points that could lead to similar events in the future.
dc.description.abstractThe geological record shows that abrupt changes in the Earth system can occur on timescales short enough to challenge the capacity of human societies to adapt to environmental pressures. In many cases, abrupt changes arise from slow changes in one component of the Earth system that eventually pass a critical threshold, or tipping point, after which impacts cascade through coupled climate-ecological-social systems. The chance of detecting abrupt changes and tipping points increases with the length of observations. The geological record provides the only long-term information we have on the conditions and processes that can drive physical, ecological and social systems into new states or organizational structures that may be irreversible within human time frames. Here, we use well-documented abrupt changes of the past 30 kyr to illustrate how their impacts cascade through the Earth system. We review useful indicators of upcoming abrupt changes, or early warning signals, and provide a perspective on the contributions of palaeoclimate science to the understanding of abrupt changes in the Earth system.
dc.description.funderPAGES
dc.description.funderMax Planck Society
dc.description.funderANID/MSI/Millennium Nucleus Paleoclimate
dc.description.funderUS NSF
dc.description.funderNSF
dc.description.funderWARF
dc.description.funderGerman Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF)
dc.description.funderLeibniz Association project DominoES
dc.description.funderEuropean Research Council Advanced Grant project ERA (Earth Resilience in the Anthropocene)
dc.fechaingreso.objetodigital2024-05-14
dc.format.extent9 páginas
dc.fuente.origenWOS
dc.identifier.doi10.1038/s41561-021-00790-5
dc.identifier.eissn1752-0908
dc.identifier.issn1752-0894
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-021-00790-5
dc.identifier.urihttps://repositorio.uc.cl/handle/11534/80147
dc.identifier.wosidWOS:000679298700001
dc.information.autorucFacultad de Historia, Geografía y Ciencia Política; Lambert No Informado, Fabrice; S/I; 250043
dc.issue.numero8
dc.language.isoen
dc.nota.accesoSin adjunto
dc.pagina.final558
dc.pagina.inicio550
dc.publisherNATURE PORTFOLIO
dc.rightsregistro bibliográfico
dc.subjectEARLY-WARNING SIGNALS
dc.subjectMILLENNIAL-SCALE VARIABILITY
dc.subjectDANSGAARD-OESCHGER EVENTS
dc.subjectPRAIRIE-FOREST ECOTONE
dc.subjectAFRICAN HUMID PERIOD
dc.subjectMELTWATER PULSE 1B
dc.subjectCLIMATE-CHANGE
dc.subjectVEGETATION INTERACTION
dc.subjectNORTH PACIFIC
dc.subjectSLOWING-DOWN
dc.subject.ods13 Climate Action
dc.subject.odspa13 Acción por el clima
dc.titlePast abrupt changes, tipping points and cascading impacts in the Earth system
dc.typeartículo de revisión
dc.volumen14
sipa.codpersvinculados250043
sipa.indexWOS
sipa.trazabilidadCarga SIPA;09-01-2024
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