Browsing by Author "Soza Parra, Jaime"

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    Headway variability in public transport: a review of metrics, determinants, effects for quality of service and control strategies
    (2021) Tirachini, Alejandro; Godachevich, Javiera; Cats, Oded; Muñoz Abogabir, Juan Carlos; Soza Parra, Jaime; CEDEUS (Chile)
    The most relevant issues related to headway variability in public transport planning, operations and quality of service are reviewed in this paper. We discuss the causes and consequences of headway variability, the alternative metrics that have been proposed to measure it, the preventive and reactive strategies to control headway variability in both research and practice, including the role of drivers and of present and future technology, and how service provision contracts might deal with headway variability through metrics and financial incentives. The most influential elements that explain headway variability along a route are the irregularity at which vehicles are dispatched, the scheduled frequency, the distance travelled or route length, the passenger demand and associated dwell times, and the number of stops. We conclude that there is a large gap between the state-of-the-art and the state-of-practice in terms of identification of headway variability issues, as well as in the development of mitigation and control measures. It is therefore paramount that future research will contribute to closing this gap by addressing organisational, contractual and technological barriers in the implementation of measures aimed at mitigating headway variability in public transport services.
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    Inertia and shock effects in public transport: The case of metro line 6 in Santiago using smart card data
    (2025) Ingvardson, Jesper Blafoss; Raveau Feliu, Sebastián; Soza Parra, Jaime
    Traffic forecasting has traditionally relied solely on characteristics related to services and users. However, recent research has highlighted the importance of considering travellers' psychological factors in explaining travel behaviour. While previous studies have incorporated the role of habits in travel choice behaviour, only a few have analysed the role of inertia and shock related to major changes in transport networks. This study contributes to previous research by revealing the changes in the behaviour of public transport passengers over time after the inauguration of a new metro line in Santiago, Chile, using large-scale revealed-preference data from automated fare collection systems. It explicitly analysed the consequences of the new metro on passenger behaviour by considering different passenger types, using a heteroskedastic mixed latent class public transport mode choice model incorporating both inertia effects resulting from habitual behaviour and shock effects resulting from a significant change to the public transport network. The results confirmed significant habitual behaviour among passengers, in that metro users tended to stick to using the metro, but bus users tended to switch to other modes. However, after the introduction of the new metro line, a significant shock effect was observed, whereby users had an increased tendency to switch to modes that improved their level of service, and this effect increased slightly in the longer term. The results highlight the importance of incorporating inertia and shock effects into behavioural studies.