Browsing by Author "Ibanez, Alfredo"

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    Climate Change and Overuse: Water Resource Challenges during Economic Growth in Coquimbo, Chile
    (2022) Pizarro, Roberto; Garcia-Chevesich, Pablo A.; McCray, John E.; Sharp, Jonathan O.; Valdes-Pineda, Rodrigo; Sanguesa, Claudia; Jaque-Becerra, Dayana; Alvarez, Pablo; Norambuena, Sebastian; Ibanez, Alfredo; Vallejos, Carlos; Mendoza, Romina
    The arid Coquimbo region of Chile has experienced a significant economic growth in recent decades, fueled in large part by water-intensive activities such as mining and agriculture. Under this context, a monthly and annual trend analysis of precipitation, streamflow, and piezometric levels was carried out. Thus, 43 pluviometric stations, 11 fluviometric stations, and 11 wells were selected. These stations were evaluated for their temporal trends using the Mann-Kendall test. Results revealed a significant decrease in river flows, with negative and significant trends concentrated in the mean and maximum flows, both at annual and monthly levels. Likewise, positive trends were found in the depth to water table on wells, with significant trends in 81.8% of the monthly cases, and in 72.7% of the annual cases. While also decreasing over the same period, rainfall trends exhibit high variability and lacked significance. Although the amounts of precipitation have decreased, this does not seem to be the main factor responsible for the scarcity of water in the region, but rather an excessive consumption of this resource. This is endorsed by the increase in GDP (Gross Domestic Product), which is explained by activities that consume water (mining and agriculture). Similarly, an increase in the granting of underground water rights was verified, which speaks of the high demands for the resource. However, future modeling is advised to better understand the regional hydrology of the area and quantify the anthropic effects on water resources more precisely.
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    Comparing Methods for the Regionalization of Intensity-Duration-Frequency (IDF) Curve Parameters in Sparsely-Gauged and Ungauged Areas of Central Chile
    (2023) Sanguesa, Claudia; Pizarro, Roberto; Ingram, Ben; Ibanez, Alfredo; Rivera, Diego; Garcia-Chevesich, Pablo; Pino, Juan; Perez, Felipe; Balocchi, Francisco; Pena, Francisco
    Estimating intensity-duration-frequency (IDF) curves requires local historical information of precipitation intensity. When such information is unavailable, as in areas without rain gauges, it is necessary to consider other methods to estimate curve parameters. In this study, three methods were explored to estimate IDF curves in ungauged areas: Kriging (KG), Inverse Distance Weighting (IDW), and Storm Index (SI). To test the viability of these methods, historical data collected from 31 rain gauges distributed in central Chile, 35 degrees S to 38 degrees S, are used. As a result of the reduced number of rain gauges to evaluate the performance of each method, we used LOOCV (Leaving One Out Cross Validation). The results indicate that KG was limited due to the sparse distribution of rain gauges in central Chile. SI (a linear scaling method) showed the smallest prediction error in all of the ungauged locations, and outperformed both KG and IDW. However, the SI method does not provide estimates of uncertainty, as is possible with KG. The simplicity of SI renders it a viable method for extrapolating IDF curves to locations without data in the central zone of Chile.
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    Establishment of Monterrey Pine (Pinus radiata) Plantations and Their Effects on Seasonal Sediment Yield in Central Chile
    (2023) Pizarro, Roberto; Garcia-Chevesich, Pablo; Ingram, Ben; Sanguesa, Claudia; Pino, Juan; Ibanez, Alfredo; Mendoza, Romina; Vallejos, Carlos; Perez, Felipe; Flores, Juan Pablo; Vera, Mauricio; Balocchi, Francisco; Bustamante-Ortega, Ramon; Martinez, Gisella
    Sediment production and transport in a basin are generally a function of the degree of soil protection, normally represented by plant cover. In this study, two basins located at similar latitudes but with different hydrological regimens and plant covers were studied, one with a pluvial regimen and forest plantations (Purapel) and another one with the pluvio-nival regimen and native forest (Nuble). For this purpose, sediment yield was analyzed in both drainage areas using the Mann-Kendall statistical test. Both basins showed larger amounts of sediment production during winter months. In addition, sediment yield trends did not show significant variation in the case of the Nuble, most likely due to non-relevant changes in plant cover over time. However, there is a sustained decrease in annual sediment release at Purapel, coinciding with the afforestation in the basin, so it is logical to attribute the referred reduction to this process. For the first time, the behavior of two watersheds is contrasted, one covered with native forest and the other one with forest plantations, appreciating that the basin covered with plantations presents a reduction in sediment production over time, which means that forest plantations are efficient in sediment retention, even in contrast to native forest. However, both basins have different types of soil, topography, etc., meaning that more studies are needed to support this theory.
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    Increases in the Amounts of Agricultural Surfaces and Their Impact on the Sustainability of Groundwater Resources in North-Central Chile
    (2024) Pizarro, Roberto; Borcoski, Francisca; Ingram, Ben; Bustamante-Ortega, Ramon; Sanguesa, Claudia; Ibanez, Alfredo; Toledo, Cristobal; Vidal, Cristian; Garcia-Chevesich, Pablo A.
    Water is a fundamental resource for Chile's productive structure, which is more important in arid areas, and especially with agricultural uses. This study was based on two basins (Cogot & iacute; and Illapel) located in the Coquimbo Region of north-central Chile. In this region, surface water rights were closed in 2002 and the only current option is the use of groundwater. These basins have high water demands due to the use of surface and groundwater for agricultural purposes, a fact that should influence the sustainability of groundwater reserves over time. The objective of this study was to determine how much agricultural use has affected the availability of groundwater in two basins. Under the previous context, the evolution of agricultural irrigation surfaces was evaluated using Landsat images and forest classifications. Similarly, groundwater reserves were evaluated using the recessive curves of hydrographs associated with the beginning of each hydrological year. The results show an increase in the agricultural area between 1996 and 2016, with a subsequent decrease, while groundwater reserves denoted significant decreases over time. In conclusion, a significant decrease in the volumes of groundwater reserves in both basins was observed, a decrease that is consistent with the increase in irrigated areas.
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    Spatio-Temporal Behavior of Land Surface Temperatures (LSTs) in Central Chile, Using Terra MODIS Images
    (2024) Munoz-Aguayo, Pedro; Morales-Salinas, Luis; Pizarro, Roberto; Ibanez, Alfredo; Sanguesa, Claudia; Fuentes-Jaque, Guillermo; Toledo, Cristobal; Garcia-Chevesich, Pablo A.
    Land surface temperature (LST) is one of the most important variables in the physical processes of surface energy and water balance. The temporal behavior of LST was analyzed between the latitudes 32 degrees 00 ' S and 34 degrees 24 ' S (Valpara & iacute;so and Metropolitana regions of Chile) for three summer months (December, January, and February) in the 2000-2017 period, using the Terra MODIS image information and applying the Mann-Kendall test. The results show an increase in LST in the study area, particularly in the Andes mountain range in January (5240 km2), which mainly comprises areas devoid of vegetation and eternal snow and glaciers, and are zones that act as water reserves for the capital city of Santiago. Similarly, vegetated areas such as forests, grasslands, and shrublands also show increasing trends in LST but over smaller surfaces. Because this study is regional, it is recommended to improve the spatial and temporal resolutions of the images to obtain conclusions on more local scales.
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    Streamflow Trends in Central Chile
    (2023) Sanguesa, Claudia; Pizarro, Roberto; Ingram, Ben; Balocchi, Francisco; Garcia-Chevesich, Pablo; Pino, Juan; Ibanez, Alfredo; Vallejos, Carlos; Mendoza, Romina; Bernal, Alejandra; Valdes-Pineda, Rodrigo; Perez, Felipe
    The availability of water in Chile has shown signs of decline in recent decades. This is problematic because Chile's economy depends on mining, forestry, and agricultural activities, all limited by the availability of water resources. In this study, daily, monthly and annual flows in 31 basins located in the arid-semiarid zones (29 & DEG;12 & PRIME; S-33 & DEG;58 & PRIME; S) and in the humid-subhumid zones (34 & DEG;43 & PRIME; S-38 & DEG;30 & PRIME; S) of Chile were evaluated using the Mann-Kendall trend test and the quantile-Kendall procedure during three periods: 1984-2021 (31 stations), 1975-2021 (20 stations), and 1969-2021 (18 stations). Results showed that, at the annual level, trends were predominantly negative in both climatic zones and over the three periods analyzed. In the arid-semiarid zone, a higher frequency of annual significant negative trends was found in maximum flows in 1969-2021 and 1975-2021, compared to the last period under study. The humid-subhumid zone showed significant annual negative trends in all series analyzed. At the monthly level, on the other hand, the arid-semiarid zone showed a decrease in significant negative trends as the number of years analyzed increased, for all flow types. The humid-subhumid zone did not indicate a similar defined pattern. Likewise, the quantile-Kendall procedure showed a reduction in the significant trends as the length of the time series was increased in the arid-semiarid zone, but no such pattern was observed in the humid-subhumid zone. Furthermore, a relationship was observed for the PDO and the summer month flows for both zones. Consequently, it is concluded that the flow trends are generally negative, and their statistical significance depends on the period studied.
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    The Large-Scale Effect of Forest Cover on Long-Term Streamflow Variations in Mediterranean Catchments of Central Chile
    (2022) Pizarro, Roberto; Valdes-Pineda, Rodrigo; Garcia-Chevesich, Pablo A.; Ibanez, Alfredo; Pino, Juan; Scott, David F.; Neary, Daniel G.; McCray, John E.; Castillo, Miguel; Ubilla, Patricio
    Forest ecosystems play an important role in hydrological processes as surface and subsurface runoff, as well as the storage of water at the catchment scale. Therefore, it is important to have a greater understanding of the effects of forests in the long-term water balance of Mediterranean catchments. In this sense, this study evaluates the effect of native forests, forest plantations, and the combination of both, on long-term streamflow variations in central Chile, an unusual area of Mediterranean climate characterized by a well-marked annual cycle with dry summers and wet winters. Thus, the temporal pattern of monthly streamflow was evaluated for mean flow (Qmean), maximum flow (Qmax), and minimum flow (Qmin) in 42 large-scale (>200 km(2)) Mediterranean catchments. Each series of monthly streamflow data was QA/QC, and then evaluated using the Mann-Kendall's non-parametric statistical test to detect temporal variations between 1994 and 2015. In addition to the previous analysis, the monthly series were grouped into wet seasons (April-September) and dry seasons (October-April), to determine if there were any significant differences within the annual hydrological cycle. The areas covered with native and forest plantations and their relative changes were evaluated for each catchment through streamflow variations and forest cover indicators. Results revealed that streamflow variations are positive and significant when more forest cover exists. The intra-catchment relationships assessed for both species revealed the significant role of native forests and mixed masses as key ecosystems for the long-term conservation of summer streamflow in Mediterranean catchments of central Chile. These findings encourage an urgent need to create highland afforestation programs on degraded areas of central Chile, to maximize water storage in a region that is quickly drying out due to unsustainable water and land use management practices and the effects of global warming.